US President Donald Trump promised a few days ago to the Iranians who were protesting the mullahs ' government that" the help is on the way. "

But a week later, that "aid" also hadn't appeared. And it seems more and more unlikely to occur.

The US president reversed a few days after making his statement, claiming that he had been informed that the protests ' deaths were decreasing in the wake of Iran's onslaught. Additionally, he refrained from saying that mass killings were being planned.

" Alarming violence"

Various UN member states appear to disagree with this assessment. A unique program of the UN Human Rights Council will be held on January 23 regarding Iran's "alarming crime. "

Meanwhile, Human Rights Activists ( HRA ), an Iranian human rights organization based in the US, announced last Monday that it had verified 3, 919 deaths in connection with the protests through its news agency HRANA.

Eventually, HRA reported 4, 029 documented deaths on the social networking X and updated this number. Another 9, 000 incidents are still being looked into. The death burden, according to estimates, could be considerably higher.

Trump likely backed down for various reasons, mostly as a result of pressure from a number of Arab nations. In order to prevent a potential US attack on Iran, representatives from Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Oman, and Egypt, according to reports, held extensive political discussions with the US last week. Additionally, according to the Associated Press, these nations also urged the Tehran plan to be restraint.

Doubts in the Gulf States

The Gulf States are keen to keep Iran weakened so that it is less dangerous, but they also worry that violence could get out of hand after an attack and that they had themselves fall prey to Iranian attacks, according to political scholar Pauline Raabe of the Middle East Thoughts think tank in Berlin.

The Middle East Studies Institute director at GIGA, Eckart Woertz, holds the view that it is doubtful that the Tehran program will drop. He makes it clear that if this were to occur, violent acts of violence" may be sparked by large refugee actions" and be directed at the Gulf countries.

A US assault, according to Pauline Raabe, could undermine this effort despite the Gulf nations and Iran's ongoing diplomatic relations. " US bases in Qatar, Saudi Arabia, or Bahrain could become the primary target of possible Egyptian strikes. "

Economic Risks

Raabe points out that a conflict with Tehran may have profound financial effects. " This would have significant ramifications on the economy of the Gulf states if Iran were to choose to stop trade routes, for instance. "

The specialist does not act out barricades in the Persian Gulf. The social scientist claims that we have already seen what this means in the Red Sea, where the Houthi army, an Iranian-backed party, is bombing international shipping. He claims that a similar blockade of the Persian Gulf may have profound financial effects on both the Arab states and the world economy. According to Eckart Woertz, instability would also have an impact on the financial transformations taking place in the Gulf:" Saudi Arabia, in specific, is repositioning itself financially. Any unrest poses a substantial threat. This also applies to its standard endeavor, which is to extract natural resources, particularly fuel. Because this industry relies so heavily on reliable supply chains and respect, any uncertainty hurts this sector. Both are crucial to the Gulf market. Authoritarian Security Additionally, Woertz thinks that" the social elite of the Gulf states would prefer to stick to the old program rather than face a new and potentially mysterious power. " In the Gulf nations, of training, there are a lot of reservations about the Egyptian government. However, both sides have gotten more political in recent years, following a rough time of relationships. That is not in danger, they say.

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